Kesan News Jun 2023

Kesan News yang Kuat kepada GOLD

Berita yang memberi Impak yang kuat kepada pergerakan EMAS

Jun 2023

SOP

  1. Tengok Trend H1 dan ikut trend H1
  2. Tengok STOC 5M >80 && <20
  3. Semak STOC M1 BUY Cross 20 & SELL Cross 80, sebelum entry POS
Tarikh Masa News Kesan Arah Actual forecast Previous Catatan
Khamis                
Jun 1 20.15 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (May) 70pips

-down

-junam 70 pips,

278K 170K 296K -Buka EA 10 min sebelum News
  20.30 Initial Jobless Claims 160pips -fly balik 120pips
-reverse 50pips
-fly balik 80pips
232K 235K 229K  
  22.00 ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mei) 80pips

-terus fly

-naik 40pips.

46.9 47 47.1

-jatuh semula/dulu 40pips

  23.00 Crude Oil Inventories 60pips

naik

berhenti naik 1850

4.888M -1.101M 12.456M

240pips dari bawah keatas

Jumaat   LDR            
Jun 2  20.30 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (May) 300 pips SELL
-terus junam 86pips,
0.3% 0.4%

0.5%

pergerakan bermula 14.30
  20.30 Nonfarm Payrolls (May) 300pips -pergerakan turun/ naik
-reversal 78pips
-junam 150pips
-reversal ke 2 60pips
339K 180K 253K
-USD kuat
-tengok candle 20:25 utk tentu arah
  20.30 Unemployment Rate (May) 300pips -terus junam 195pips

3.7%

3.5% 3.4% bergerak naik jam 1700
Isnin                
Jun 5 21.45 Services PMI (May) 100 pips down 54.9 55.1 53.6 tak kuat
  22.00 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Apr) 150pips

fly 150pips -junam sikit 60pips

-fly 80pips

50.3 51.8 51.9 tak kuat
Rabu                
Jun 7 00.00 EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook       up   -terus naik, tiada pergerakan turun/naik
  22.30 Crude Oil Inventories 190 pips

-junam perlahan.

ikut trend TF1 min 28, 29

-0.451M 1.152M 4.448M

USD kuat.

bergerak perlahan.

Khamis                
Jun 8 20:30 Initial Jobless Claims 240pips

-dah mula M25

-up 120pips & retrace sikit. 50pips

-up 240pips

261K 235K 232K Jika Actual<Forecast (-ve) USD menjadi kuat
Jika Actual>Forecast (+ve) USD menjadi tak kuat
Isnin Jun 12 Malam LDR 160pips

up -130pips

down – 160pips

      Pergerakan tidak menentu
Selasa       **berhati hati CPI kuat pergerakan        
Jun 13 20.30 Core CPI (MoM) (May)   up 0.4% 0.4% .0.4% masuk pos entry M29
  20.30 CPI (MoM) (May) 270 pips

-junam 270pips &

-fly 120pips

-tunggu sehingga pips max

0.1% 0.2% 0.4%

turun / naik  selepas 15 Minit

-turun 160pips, retrace

  20.30 CPI (YoY) (May) 270 pips – junam ??? 4.0% 4.1% 4.9%

naik sehingga 120pips

-tunggu sehingga pips max

Rabu                
Jun 14 20.30 PPI (MoM) (May) 120pips -fly -0.3% 0.1% 0.2% -jatuh 30pips /naik semula.
  22.30 Crude Oil Inventories 0 pips tidak bergerak 7.919M 1.482M -0.451M usd tak kuat
                 
Khamis                
Jun 15 0200 FOMC Economic Projections 130pops -junam terus 130pips       -terus junam, tiada pergerakan turun/naik
  0200 FOMC Statement   -naik balik 120pips        
  0200 Fed Interest Rate Decision   -junam balik 110pips 5.25% 5.25% 5.25%  
  0230 FOMC Press Conference            
  20.30 Core Retail Sales (MoM) (May) 280 pips -fly pips 0.1% 0.1%

0.4%

*** Trade selepas News.
  20.30 Initial Jobless Claims     262K 250K 261K  
  20.30 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (May) 280 pips fly kaw kaw -13.7 -13.5 -10.4 -kuat GOLD jatuh
  2030 Retail Sales (MoM) (May)

down 190 pips

  0.3% 0.1%

0.4%

-jatuh balik 190 pips

pergerakan keseluruhan -290 pip

Jumaat                
Jun 16 2200 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment   60.1 59.2 tak kuat
Isnin Jun 19              
Selasa   LDR            
Jun 20 2030 Building Permits (May) 220pips – junam terus dari 1530 hingga 1705 1.491M 1.425M 1.147M  
                 
Rabu                
Jun 21 2200 Fed Chair Powell Testifies 140 pips -text dikeluarkan jam 2030, 90 min awal
-dah mula junam jam 2030, 140pips
-fly balik 180pips
      -ikut arah pada 2200 TF-1M. Kena tunggu News keluar
                 
Khamis       **ikut trend H1 semasa        
Jun 22 20:30 Initial Jobless Claims 50pips -fly terus 264K 260K 262K -jatuh balik 120pips
  2200 Existing Home Sales (May) 100pips -junam 4.30M 4.25M 4.28M USD kuat
  2200 Fed Chair Powell Testifies           -text 90 min awal
  2300 Crude Oil Inventories 90pips -junam -3.831M 1.873M 7.919M USD kuat
                 
Jumaat                
Jun 23 21.45 Flash Manufacturing PMI 180 pips -junam 46.3 48.6 47.1 usd kuat
  21.45 Services PMI (Jun)   setelah secara mendadak 54.1 53.9 54.9  
                 
Isnin Jun 26 TREND H1 = UP   Kenaikan Gold tanpa news yang kuat       Berhati-hati ?????
                 
Selasa   TREND H4 = UP   TREND H1 = DOWN        
Jun 27 20.00 Building Permits 60 pips -UP 1.496M 1.491M 1.417M USD kuat
  20.30 Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (May) 40 pips -turun/naik +_40pips 0.6% -0.2% -0.2% USD kuat
  22.00 CB Consumer Confidence (Jun) 120 pips junam terus 109.7 103.7 102.3 USD kuat
  22.00 New Home Sales (May) 120 pips down 763K 670K 683K USD kuat
                 
Rabu   TREND H4 = DOWN   TREND H1 = DOWN        
Jun 28 2130   50pips fly terus       USD tak kuat
  2230 Crude Oil Inventories 60pips up/down -9.603M 1.41M -3.8M tiada pergerakan yang kuat
                 
Khamis   LDR   HARI RAYA HAJI     TREND H4 = DOWN TREND H1 = UP
Jun 29 1430 Fed Chair Powell Speaks            
  2030 GDP (QoQ) 1Q 160 pips junam terus 2.0% 1.4% 2.6% USD kuat
  2030 Initial Jobless Claims     239K 266K 264K USD kuat
  2200 Pending Home Sales (MoM) (May) 70pips -fly 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% USD tak kuat
                 
Jumaat                
Jun 30 2030 Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Apr) 160pips fly terus 4.6% 4.7% 4.7% USD tak kuat
  2030 Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Apr) 160pips   0.3% 0.3% 0.4% USD tak kuat
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 
                 

Waktu Trading

Waktu Malaysia (24 jam) Waktu XM Waktu Malaysia (24 jam)  Waktu XM
01:00 pg (01:00) 20:00 01:00 th (13:00) 08:00
02:00 pg (02:00) 21:00 02:00 ptg (14:00) 09:00
03:00 pg (03:00) 23:00 03:00 ptg (15:00) 10:00
04:00 pg (04:00) 23:00 04:00 ptg (16:00) 11:00
05:00 pg (05:00) 24:00 05:00 ptg (17:00) 12:00
06:00 pg (06:00) 01:00 06:00 ptg (18:00) 13:00
07:00 pg (07:00) 02:00 07:00 ptg (19:00) 14:00
08:00 pg (08:00) 03:00  08.00 mlm (20:00) 15:00
09:00 pg (09:00) 04:00 09:00 mlm (21:00) 16:00
10:00 pg (10:00) 05:00 10:00 mlm (22:00) 17:00
11:00 pg (11:00) 06:00 11:00 mlm (23:00) 18:00
12:00 th (12.00) 07:00 12:00 mlm (24:00) 19:00

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