Kesan News yang Kuat kepada GOLD
Berita yang memberi Impak yang kuat kepada pergerakan EMAS
Jun 2023
SOP
- Tengok Trend H1 dan ikut trend H1
- Tengok STOC 5M >80 && <20
- Semak STOC M1 BUY Cross 20 & SELL Cross 80, sebelum entry POS
| Tarikh | Masa | News | Kesan | Arah | Actual | forecast | Previous | Catatan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamis | ||||||||
| Jun 1 | 20.15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (May) | 70pips |
-down -junam 70 pips, |
278K | 170K | 296K | -Buka EA 10 min sebelum News |
| 20.30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 160pips | -fly balik 120pips -reverse 50pips -fly balik 80pips |
232K | 235K | 229K | ||
| 22.00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mei) | 80pips |
-terus fly -naik 40pips. |
46.9 | 47 | 47.1 |
-jatuh semula/dulu 40pips |
|
| 23.00 | Crude Oil Inventories | 60pips |
naik berhenti naik 1850 |
4.888M | -1.101M | 12.456M |
240pips dari bawah keatas |
|
| Jumaat | LDR | |||||||
| Jun 2 | 20.30 | Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (May) | 300 pips | SELL -terus junam 86pips, |
0.3% | 0.4% |
0.5% |
pergerakan bermula 14.30 |
| 20.30 | Nonfarm Payrolls (May) | 300pips | -pergerakan turun/ naik -reversal 78pips -junam 150pips -reversal ke 2 60pips |
339K | 180K | 253K | – -USD kuat -tengok candle 20:25 utk tentu arah |
|
| 20.30 | Unemployment Rate (May) | 300pips | -terus junam 195pips |
3.7% |
3.5% | 3.4% | bergerak naik jam 1700 | |
| Isnin | ||||||||
| Jun 5 | 21.45 | Services PMI (May) | 100 pips | down | 54.9 | 55.1 | 53.6 | tak kuat |
| 22.00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Apr) | 150pips |
fly 150pips -junam sikit 60pips -fly 80pips |
50.3 | 51.8 | 51.9 | tak kuat | |
| Rabu | ||||||||
| Jun 7 | 00.00 | EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook | up | -terus naik, tiada pergerakan turun/naik | ||||
| 22.30 | Crude Oil Inventories | 190 pips |
-junam perlahan. ikut trend TF1 min 28, 29 |
-0.451M | 1.152M | 4.448M |
USD kuat. bergerak perlahan. |
|
| Khamis | ||||||||
| Jun 8 | 20:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 240pips |
-dah mula M25 -up 120pips & retrace sikit. 50pips -up 240pips |
261K | 235K | 232K | Jika Actual<Forecast (-ve) USD menjadi kuat Jika Actual>Forecast (+ve) USD menjadi tak kuat |
| Isnin | Jun 12 | Malam LDR | 160pips |
up -130pips down – 160pips |
Pergerakan tidak menentu | |||
| Selasa | **berhati hati CPI kuat pergerakan | |||||||
| Jun 13 | 20.30 | Core CPI (MoM) (May) | up | 0.4% | 0.4% | .0.4% | masuk pos entry M29 | |
| 20.30 | CPI (MoM) (May) | 270 pips |
-junam 270pips & -fly 120pips -tunggu sehingga pips max |
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
turun / naik selepas 15 Minit -turun 160pips, retrace |
|
| 20.30 | CPI (YoY) (May) | 270 pips | – junam ??? | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% |
naik sehingga 120pips -tunggu sehingga pips max |
|
| Rabu | ||||||||
| Jun 14 | 20.30 | PPI (MoM) (May) | 120pips | -fly | -0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | -jatuh 30pips /naik semula. |
| 22.30 | Crude Oil Inventories | 0 pips | tidak bergerak | 7.919M | 1.482M | -0.451M | usd tak kuat | |
| Khamis | ||||||||
| Jun 15 | 0200 | FOMC Economic Projections | 130pops | -junam terus 130pips | -terus junam, tiada pergerakan turun/naik | |||
| 0200 | FOMC Statement | -naik balik 120pips | ||||||
| 0200 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | -junam balik 110pips | 5.25% | 5.25% | 5.25% | |||
| 0230 | FOMC Press Conference | |||||||
| 20.30 | Core Retail Sales (MoM) (May) | 280 pips | -fly pips | 0.1% | 0.1% |
0.4% |
*** Trade selepas News. | |
| 20.30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 262K | 250K | 261K | ||||
| 20.30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (May) | 280 pips | fly kaw kaw | -13.7 | -13.5 | -10.4 | -kuat GOLD jatuh | |
| 2030 | Retail Sales (MoM) (May) |
down 190 pips |
0.3% | 0.1% |
0.4% |
-jatuh balik 190 pips pergerakan keseluruhan -290 pip |
||
| Jumaat | ||||||||
| Jun 16 | 2200 | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | – | – | 60.1 | 59.2 | tak kuat | |
| Isnin | Jun 19 | |||||||
| Selasa | LDR | |||||||
| Jun 20 | 2030 | Building Permits (May) | 220pips | – junam terus dari 1530 hingga 1705 | 1.491M | 1.425M | 1.147M | |
| Rabu | ||||||||
| Jun 21 | 2200 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies | 140 pips | -text dikeluarkan jam 2030, 90 min awal -dah mula junam jam 2030, 140pips -fly balik 180pips |
-ikut arah pada 2200 TF-1M. Kena tunggu News keluar | |||
| Khamis | **ikut trend H1 semasa | |||||||
| Jun 22 | 20:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 50pips | -fly terus | 264K | 260K | 262K | -jatuh balik 120pips |
| 2200 | Existing Home Sales (May) | 100pips | -junam | 4.30M | 4.25M | 4.28M | USD kuat | |
| 2200 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies | -text 90 min awal | ||||||
| 2300 | Crude Oil Inventories | 90pips | -junam | -3.831M | 1.873M | 7.919M | USD kuat | |
| Jumaat | ||||||||
| Jun 23 | 21.45 | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 180 pips | -junam | 46.3 | 48.6 | 47.1 | usd kuat |
| 21.45 | Services PMI (Jun) | setelah secara mendadak | 54.1 | 53.9 | 54.9 | |||
| Isnin | Jun 26 | TREND H1 = UP | Kenaikan Gold tanpa news yang kuat | Berhati-hati ????? | ||||
| Selasa | TREND H4 = UP | TREND H1 = DOWN | ||||||
| Jun 27 | 20.00 | Building Permits | 60 pips | -UP | 1.496M | 1.491M | 1.417M | USD kuat |
| 20.30 | Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (May) | 40 pips | -turun/naik +_40pips | 0.6% | -0.2% | -0.2% | USD kuat | |
| 22.00 | CB Consumer Confidence (Jun) | 120 pips | junam terus | 109.7 | 103.7 | 102.3 | USD kuat | |
| 22.00 | New Home Sales (May) | 120 pips | down | 763K | 670K | 683K | USD kuat | |
| Rabu | TREND H4 = DOWN | TREND H1 = DOWN | ||||||
| Jun 28 | 2130 | 50pips | fly terus | USD tak kuat | ||||
| 2230 | Crude Oil Inventories | 60pips | up/down | -9.603M | 1.41M | -3.8M | tiada pergerakan yang kuat | |
| Khamis | LDR | HARI RAYA HAJI | TREND H4 = DOWN | TREND H1 = UP | ||||
| Jun 29 | 1430 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks | ||||||
| 2030 | GDP (QoQ) 1Q | 160 pips | junam terus | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | USD kuat | |
| 2030 | Initial Jobless Claims | 239K | 266K | 264K | USD kuat | |||
| 2200 | Pending Home Sales (MoM) (May) | 70pips | -fly | –2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | USD tak kuat | |
| Jumaat | ||||||||
| Jun 30 | 2030 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Apr) | 160pips | fly terus | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | USD tak kuat |
| 2030 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Apr) | 160pips | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | USD tak kuat | ||
Waktu Trading
| Waktu Malaysia (24 jam) | Waktu XM | Waktu Malaysia (24 jam) | Waktu XM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 pg (01:00) | 20:00 | 01:00 th (13:00) | 08:00 |
| 02:00 pg (02:00) | 21:00 | 02:00 ptg (14:00) | 09:00 |
| 03:00 pg (03:00) | 23:00 | 03:00 ptg (15:00) | 10:00 |
| 04:00 pg (04:00) | 23:00 | 04:00 ptg (16:00) | 11:00 |
| 05:00 pg (05:00) | 24:00 | 05:00 ptg (17:00) | 12:00 |
| 06:00 pg (06:00) | 01:00 | 06:00 ptg (18:00) | 13:00 |
| 07:00 pg (07:00) | 02:00 | 07:00 ptg (19:00) | 14:00 |
| 08:00 pg (08:00) | 03:00 | 08.00 mlm (20:00) | 15:00 |
| 09:00 pg (09:00) | 04:00 | 09:00 mlm (21:00) | 16:00 |
| 10:00 pg (10:00) | 05:00 | 10:00 mlm (22:00) | 17:00 |
| 11:00 pg (11:00) | 06:00 | 11:00 mlm (23:00) | 18:00 |
| 12:00 th (12.00) | 07:00 | 12:00 mlm (24:00) | 19:00 |