Kesan News yang Kuat kepada GOLD
Berita yang memberi Impak yang kuat kepada pergerakan EMAS
Julai 2023
SOP
- Tengok Trend H1 dan ikut trend H1
- Tengok STOC 5M >80 && <20
- Semak STOC M1 BUY Cross 20 & SELL Cross 80, sebelum entry POS
SOP TRADE NEWS
- Tengok TF1M pada minit 1M sebelum News
- Jika pergerakan BUY, Tutup semua pos SELL yang terbuka.
- Jika pergerakan SELL, Tutup semua pos BUY yang terbuka.
- Jika semua POS telah ditutup..
- Buka balik POS/Entry mengikut arah pergerakan Candle pada 1M sebelum News
-tutup semua akaun sebelum tidur
| Tarikh | Masa | XM | News | Kesan | Arah | Actual | forecast | Previous | Catatan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isnin | |||||||||
| Jul 3 | 1555 | 1055 | EUR -German Manufacturing PMI (Jun) | sell | |||||
| 1630 | 1130 | GBP-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) | |||||||
| 2200 | 1700 | ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) | 47.2 | 46.9 | |||||
| Rabu | |||||||||
| Jul 5 | 0200 | 2100 | FOMC Meeting Minutes | ||||||
| Khamis | |||||||||
| Jul 6 | 2015 | 1515 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (May) |
-1 : M -180pips |
-down -junam 180 pips, |
497K | 228K | 267K | -Buka EA 10 min sebelum News |
| 20.30 | 1530 | Initial Jobless Claims | -1 : H 0 : M +1 : M 230pips |
-junam 30pips naik balik jatuh semula |
248K | 245K | 236K | usd tak kuat | |
| 21.45 | 1645 | Services PMI (Jun) | -1 : H 0 : H +1 : H 30pips |
sell | 54.4 | 54.1 | 54.9 | usd kuat | |
| 22.00 | 1700 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) | -1 : H 0 : M +1 : M 80pips |
-junam – 120pips. |
53.9 | 51.0 | 50.3 |
-jatuh semula/dulu 40pips |
|
| 2200 | 1700 | JOLTs Job Openings (May) | -1 : H 0 : M +1 : M 100pips |
junam | 9.824M | 9.935M | 10.103M | ikut trend M1 | |
| 23.00 | 1800 | Crude Oil Inventories |
-1 : M |
naik berhenti naik 1850 |
-1.508M | -0.983M | -9.603M | 240pips dari bawah keatas | |
| Jumaat | Trend H1 = BUY | **NFP kuat | *pastikan tiada OPEN pos | ||||||
| Jul 7 | 20.30 | 1530 | Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) | 200 pips | BUY -terus fly 130pips, |
0.4% | 0.3% |
0.3% |
pergerakan bermula 14.30 |
| 20.30 | 1530 | Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) | -2 : H -1 : H 0 : H +1 : H 200pips |
-junam balik 100pips -reversal ke 2 40pips |
209K | 225K | 339K | -start naik M29 boleh trade pada 1529 ikut arah -USD tak kuat -tengok candle 20:29 utk tentu arah |
|
| 20.30 | 1530 | Unemployment Rate (Jun) | 130pips |
3.6% |
3.7% | 3.7% | bergerak naik jam 1700 | ||
| Isnin | LDR | Trend H1 = BUY | |||||||
| Jul 10 | 2000 | 1300 |
perubahan trend Sell ke Buy |
-2 : H -1 : H 0 : H +1 : H 120pips |
-junam-junam 120pips, naik balik 140pips |
ambil profit setiap 50pips -berhati-hati dengan perubahan trnd H1 |
|||
| Selasa | Jul 11 | Trend H1 = Sell | |||||||
| Rabu | **berhati hati CPI kuat pergerakan | ||||||||
| Jul 12 | 00.00 | EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook | up | -terus naik, tiada pergerakan turun/naik | |||||
| 20.30 | 1530 | Core CPI (MoM) (Jun) |
-fly / up -2 : H |
0.2% | 0.3% | .0.4% | masuk pos entry M29 | ||
| 20.30 | 1530 | CPI (MoM) (Jun) | -2 : H -1 : H 0 : H +1 : H |
– -fly 150pips & -tunggu sehingga pips max 230pips |
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
naik selama 10 Minit -turun 90pips, retrace naik balik 160pips |
|
| 20.30 | 1530 | CPI (YoY) (Jun) | 230 pips | – junam ??? | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% |
naik sehingga 230pips -tunggu sehingga pips max |
|
| 22.30 | 1730 | Crude Oil Inventories | 190 pips |
-junam perlahan. ikut trend TF1 min 28, 29 |
5.946M | 0.483M | -1.508M |
USD tak kuat. bergerak perlahan. |
|
| Khamis | |||||||||
| Jul 13 | 20:30 | 1530 | Initial Jobless Claims | 120pips |
-dah mula M28 -up 40pips & jatuh 70pips -up 120pips |
237K | 250K | 249K | Jika Actual<Forecast (-ve) USD menjadi kuat Jika Actual>Forecast (+ve) USD menjadi tak kuat |
| 20.30 | 1530 | PPI (MoM) (Jun) | 120pips |
-fly |
0.1% | 0.2% | -0.3% | -jatuh 70pips /naik semula | |
| Jumaat | |||||||||
| Jul 14 | 2200 | 1700 | Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Jul) | 90pips | -junam | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | USD kuat |
| 2200 | 1700 | Michigan Consumer Expectations (Jul) | 69.4 | 61.8 | 61.5 | -ada gap | |||
| 2200 | 1700 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jul) | 72.6 | 65.5 | 64.4 | naik balik 110pips | |||
| 2200 | 1700 | Michigan Inflation Expectations (Jul) | -2:H -1:H 0:H +1:H |
3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | |||
| Isnin | LDR | ||||||||
| Jul 17 | |||||||||
| Selasa | |||||||||
| Jul 18 | 2030 | 1530 | Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun) | -2:H -1:H 0:H +1:H 290 pips |
-fly 90pips | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | *** Trade selepas News. |
| 2030 | 1530 | Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun) | 90 pips | FLY | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
-jatuh balik 190 pips pergerakan keseluruhan -290 pip |
|
| Rabu | selepas jam 7 ptg trend berubah | ||||||||
| Jul 19 | 2030 | Building Permits (Jun) |
-2:M |
– naik % jatuh | 1.440M | 1.480M | 1.496M | USD tak kuat | |
| 2230 | Crude Oil Inventories | -2:H -1:H 0:H +1:H 290 pips |
-0.708M | -2.440M | 5.946M | USD tak kuat | |||
| Khamis | |||||||||
| Jul 20 | 20.30 | 1530 | Initial Jobless Claims | -2:M -1:H 0:M +1:H 60 pips |
-junam | 228K | 242K | 237K | |
| 20.30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jul) | 60 pips | -13.5 | -10.0 | -13.7 | -kuat GOLD jatuh | |||
| 2200 | 1700 | Existing Home Sales (Jun) | -2:M -1:H 0:H +1:H 60 pips |
-Naik | 41.6M | 42.1 |
4.30 |
USD kuat | |
| Jumaat | Trend H1 = SELL | ||||||||
| Jul 21 | |||||||||
| Isnin | Trend H1 = SELL | Trend H4 = SELL | |||||||
| Jul 24 | 2145 | S&P Global US Services PMI (Jul) | 60 pips | 52.4 | 54.0 | 54.4 | turun naik USD tak kuat | ||
| Selasa | |||||||||
| Jul 25 | 2200 | CB Consumer Confidence (Jun) | 120 pips | junam terus | 117 | 111.5 | 109.7 | USD kuat | |
| Rabu | LDR | Trend H1 = BUY | |||||||
| Jul 26 | 2000 | 1500 | Building Permits | tak gerak | 1.441M | 1.440M | 1.496M | USD kuat | |
| 2200 | 1700 | New Home Sales (Jun) | naik 30 pips | jatuh balik | 697K | 727K | 763K | USD tak kuat | |
| 2230 | 1730 | Crude Oil Inventories | 90 pips | fly | -0.600M | -2.348M | -0.708M | USD tak kuat | |
| Khamis | **ikut trend H1 semasa | ||||||||
| Jul 27 | 0200 | 2100 | FOMC Statement | 90pips | -fly terus 90pips | -fly junam, tiada pergerakan turun/naik | |||
| 0200 | 2100 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | -junam balik | 5.50% | 5.50% | 5.25% | |||
| 0230 | 2130 | FOMC Press Conference | 90 pips | junam, naik balik |
-text 90 min awal 2000 |
||||
| 2030 | 1530 | Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (May) | 340pips junam | junam | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.6% | USD kuat | |
| 2030 | 1530 | GDP (QoQ) 1Q | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | USD kuat | |||
| 2030 | 1530 | Initial Jobless Claims | 340pips | – | 221K | 235K | 228K | -jatuh 200pips | |
| 20:30 | 1530 | Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Jun) | -0.5% | -2.7% | |||||
| Jumaat | |||||||||
| Jul 28 | 2030 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jun) | 160pips | fly terus | USD tak kuat | ||||
| 2030 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jun) | 160pips | USD tak kuat | ||||||
| Isnin | TREND H1 = UP | Kenaikan Gold tanpa news yang kuat | Berhati-hati ????? | ||||||
| Jul 31 | |||||||||
Waktu Trading
| Waktu Malaysia (24 jam) | Waktu XM | Waktu Malaysia (24 jam) | Waktu XM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 pg (01:00) | 20:00 | 01:00 th (13:00) | 08:00 |
| 02:00 pg (02:00) | 21:00 | 02:00 ptg (14:00) | 09:00 |
| 03:00 pg (03:00) | 22:00 | 03:00 ptg (15:00) | 10:00 |
| 04:00 pg (04:00) | 23:00 | 04:00 ptg (16:00) | 11:00 |
| 05:00 pg (05:00) | 24:00 | 05:00 ptg (17:00) | 12:00 |
| 06:00 pg (06:00) | 01:00 | 06:00 ptg (18:00) | 13:00 |
| 07:00 pg (07:00) | 02:00 | 07:00 ptg (19:00) | 14:00 |
| 08:00 pg (08:00) | 03:00 | 08.00 mlm (20:00) | 15:00 |
| 09:00 pg (09:00) | 04:00 | 09:00 mlm (21:00) | 16:00 |
| 10:00 pg (10:00) | 05:00 | 10:00 mlm (22:00) | 17:00 |
| 11:00 pg (11:00) | 06:00 | 11:00 mlm (23:00) | 18:00 |
| 12:00 th (12.00) | 07:00 | 12:00 mlm (24:00) | 19:00 |