Kesan News Ogos 2023

Kesan News yang Kuat kepada GOLD

Berita yang memberi Impak yang kuat kepada pergerakan EMAS

Ogos 2023

SOP

  1. Tengok Trend H1 dan ikut trend H1
  2. Tengok STOC 5M >80 && <20
  3. Semak STOC M1 BUY Cross 20 & SELL Cross 80, sebelum entry POS

SOP TRADE NEWS

  1. Tengok TF1M pada minit 1M sebelum News
  2. Jika pergerakan BUY, Tutup semua pos SELL yang terbuka.
  3. Jika pergerakan SELL, Tutup semua pos BUY yang terbuka.
  4. Jika semua POS telah ditutup..
  5. Buka balik POS/Entry mengikut arah pergerakan Candle pada 1M sebelum News

-tutup semua akaun sebelum tidur

-minggu 1 tak boleh trade besar ( jumaat NFP)

<td

Tarikh Masa XM News Kesan Arah Actual forecast Previous Catatan
Selasa                  
                   
Ogos 1 2200 1700 ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul) 60 fly 46.4 46.8 46.0 USD tak kuat
  2200 1700 ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jul)   naik 60pips jatuh balik 42.6 42.8 41.8  
  2200   JOLTs Job Openings (Jun)     9.582M 9.610M 9.618M  
                   
Rabu                  
Ogos 2 2015 1515 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jul)

-1 : M
 0 : M
+1 : M

-150pips

-down

-junam 150 pips,

324K 189K 455K -Buka EA 10 min sebelum News
  2230 1800 Crude Oil Inventories -1 : M
 0 : M
+1 : M 30pips

naik

berhenti naik 1850

-17.049M -1.367M -0.600M 240pips dari bawah keatas
                   
Khamis                  
Ogos 3 2030 1530 Initial Jobless Claim            
  2145   S&P Global US Services PMI (Jul)            
  2200   ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) -1 : H
 0 : M
+1 : M 80pips

-junam

– 120pips.

      -jatuh semula/dulu 40pips
                   
Jumaat   LDR Trend H1 = BUY   **NFP kuat       *pastikan tiada OPEN pos
Ogos 4  20.30 1530 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) 220 pips

junam dulu 60pips

-terus fly 160pips,

0.4% 0.3%

0.3%

pergerakan bermula 14.30
  20.30 1530 Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) -2 : H
-1 : H
 0 : H
+1 : H
220pips
-junam dulu 60 pips
-revers 160 pips
209K 225K 339K -start naik M29 boleh trade pada 1529 ikut arah
-USD tak kuat
-tengok candle 20:29 utk tentu arah
  20.30 1530 Unemployment Rate (Jun) 220pips  

3.6%

3.7% 3.7% bergerak naik jam 1700
Isnin     Trend H1 = BUY            
Ogos 7    

perubahan trend Sell ke Buy

-2 : H
-1 : H
 0 : H
+1 : H
120pips
-junam-junam 120pips, naik balik 140pips      

ambil profit setiap 50pips

-berhati-hati dengan perubahan trnd H1

Selasa     Trend H1 = Sell            
Ogos 8                  
Rabu                  
Ogos 9 22.30 1730 Crude Oil Inventories 130 pips

-junam perlahan.

ikut trend TF1 min 28, 29

5.851M 0.567M -17.049M

USD tak kuat.

bergerak perlahan.

                   
Khamis     **berhati hati CPI kuat pergerakan            
Ogos 10 20.30 1530 Core CPI (MoM) (Jul)  

-fly / up

-2 : H
-1 : H
 0 : H
+1 : H
150pips

0.2% 0.3% .0.4% masuk pos entry M29
  20.30 1530 CPI (MoM) (Jul) -2 : H
-1 : H
 0 : H
+1 : H

-fly 150pips &

-tunggu sehingga pips max

230pips

0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

naik  selama 10 Minit

-turun 90pips, retrace

naik balik 160pips

  20.30 1530 CPI (YoY) (Jul) 230 pips – junam ??? 3.0% 3.1% 4.0%

naik sehingga 230pips

-tunggu sehingga pips max

                   
                   
Jumaat     H1h=1956,  H4h=1987 Low = 1910          
Ogos 11 20:30 1530 PPI (MoM) (Jul) 120pips -fly   0.2% 0.1% -jatuh 70pips /naik semula
                   
Isnin     LDR            
Ogos 14 2200 1700 Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Jul) 90pips -junam 3.1% 3.1% 3.0% USD kuat
  2200 1700 Michigan Consumer Expectations (Jul)     69.4 61.8 61.5 -ada gap
  2200 1700 Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jul)     72.6 65.5 64.4 naik balik 110pips
  2200 1700 Michigan Inflation Expectations (Jul) -2:H
-1:H
0:H
+1:H
  3.4% 3.3% 3.3%  
                   
Selasa                  
Ogos 15 2030   Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)            
                   
                   
  2030 1530 Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun) -2:H
-1:H
0:H
+1:H
290 pips
-fly 90pips 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% *** Trade selepas News.
  2030 1530 Retail Sales (MoM) (Jun)  90 pips FLY 0.2% 0.5% 0.5%

-jatuh balik 190 pips

pergerakan keseluruhan -290 pip

Rabu                 selepas jam 7 ptg trend berubah
Ogos 16 2030   Building Permits (Jul)

-2:M
-1:M
0:H
+1:M
40 pips

– naik % jatuh 1.440M 1.480M 1.496M USD tak kuat
  2230   Crude Oil Inventories -2:H
-1:H
0:H
+1:H
290 pips
  -0.708M -2.440M 5.946M USD tak kuat
                   
Khamis                  
Ogos 17 20.30 1530 Initial Jobless Claims -2:M
-1:H
0:M
+1:H
60 pips
-junam 228K 242K 237K  
  20.30   Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jul) 60 pips   -13.5 -10.0 -13.7 -kuat GOLD jatuh
  0200   FOMC Meeting Minutes              
                   
Jumaat     Trend H1 = SELL            
Ogos 18 2200 1700 Existing Home Sales (Jun) -2:M
-1:H
0:H
+1:H
60 pips
-Naik     41.6M USD kuat
                   
Isnin     Trend H1 = SELL   Trend H4 = SELL        
Ogos 21                  
                   
Selasa     LDR            
Ogos 22 2200   Existing Home Sales (Jul)            
  2145         52.4 54.0 54.4  
Rabu                  
Ogos 23 2200   Building Permits tak gerak         USD kuat
  2145   S&P Global US Services PMI (Jul) 60 pips         turun naik USD tak kuat
  2200   New Home Sales (Jul) naik 30 pips jatuh balik       USD tak kuat
  2230   Crude Oil Inventories 90 pips fly       USD tak kuat
                   
Khamis     **ikut trend H4 semasa            
Ogos 24 2030   Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jul)     0.5% 0.2% 0.6%  
  2030   Initial Jobless Claims 30pips -jatuh & naik semula 230K 240K 239K -jatuh 30pips
Jumaat                  
Ogos 25 2205   Fed Chair Powell Speaks              
                   
Isnin                  
Ogos 28                  
                 
Selasa                  
Ogos 29 2200   CB Consumer Confidence (Aug)            
  2200   JOLTs Job Openings (Jul)            
                   
Rabu Ogos 30 2015   ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Aug)            
  2030   GDP (QoQ) (Q2)            
  2200   Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Jul)            
  2300   Crude Oil Inventories            
                   
Khamis     LDR            
Ogos 31 2030   Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jul) 160pips fly terus       USD tak kuat
  2030   Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jul) 160pips         USD tak kuat
  2030   Initial Jobless Claims            
                   
                   
                   
                   
                   

Waktu Trading

Waktu Malaysia (24 jam) Waktu XM Waktu Malaysia (24 jam)  Waktu XM
01:00 pg (01:00) 20:00 01:00 th (13:00) 08:00
02:00 pg (02:00) 21:00 02:00 ptg (14:00) 09:00
03:00 pg (03:00) 22:00 03:00 ptg (15:00) 10:00
04:00 pg (04:00) 23:00 04:00 ptg (16:00) 11:00
05:00 pg (05:00) 24:00 05:00 ptg (17:00) 12:00
06:00 pg (06:00) 01:00 06:00 ptg (18:00) 13:00
07:00 pg (07:00) 02:00 07:00 ptg (19:00) 14:00
08:00 pg (08:00) 03:00  08.00 mlm (20:00) 15:00
09:00 pg (09:00) 04:00 09:00 mlm (21:00) 16:00
10:00 pg (10:00) 05:00 10:00 mlm (22:00) 17:00
11:00 pg (11:00) 06:00 11:00 mlm (23:00) 18:00
12:00 th (12.00) 07:00 12:00 mlm (24:00) 19:00


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *